Posts Tagged ‘Speculations’

Australian Dollar Pare Losses on Inflation

The Australian dollar managed to gain versus lower-yielding currencies before a report to be released this week in the country is likely to show an advance in inflation in the last year’s last quarter, helping speculations that a series of interest rates in the country will restart. The Aussie rebounded after losing versus most of lower-yielding currencies last week as risk aversion remained predominant in majority of trading hours. Investors in the South Pacific region are waiting an inflation report to be released on Jan 27th expecting positive numbers as forecasts suggest an advance for the country’s prices in the last quarter of 2009, which would provide grounds for a new series of interest rate hikes by Australian policy makers.

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Canadian Dollar Suffers Huge Impact on Inflation, Risk Aversion

The Canadian dollar ranked among the worst performers in currency markets today as risk aversion influenced commodities and equities trading, which are strongly related to the loonie’s rates as weak economic data in the country also influenced the confidence towards Canada’s currency. Speculations that interest rates hikes would happen anytime soon in Canada faded further away as consumer prices retreated according to a report published today, which forced the loonie down in a day were demand for raw materials declined, affecting the outlook for the Canadian economy as half of the country’s exports are commodities. The U.S.

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Swiss Franc Tumbles on Intervention Fears

The Swiss currency finally felt the central bankers pressure and declined considerably versus most of its main trading partners’ currencies, on speculations that measures will be taken by the financial authorities to avoid the franc to gain. The Swiss franc dropped even versus the European single currency as some of the bloc’s members are providing negative economic data, evidencing that the Swiss National Bank pressure to halt the franc’s rally is taking effect. The pound was one of the biggest winners versus the franc as the U.K.’s inflation rose beyond forecasts. GBP/CHF traded at 1.6886 as of 22:31 GMT from a previous rate 1.6737 yesterday.

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Euro Slides After German Sentiment Report

The euro tumbled today versus most of the key-currencies in Europe after Germany published an important economic confidence report with worse-than-expected data, declining attractiveness for the single currency as some of its member countries struggle with a growing budget deficit. The European single currency dropped versus most of the 16 main traded currencies today as the outlook for the economic bloc declined considerably after theGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment report brought negative data to traders, which opted for other currencies in the region and overseas as Germany is the main economy currently using the euro.

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Canadian Dollar Tumbles on Rates Outlook

The Canadian dollar fell today after the nation’s central bank left interest rates unchanged at an all time record low, declining rate hikes speculations despite the favorable economic data published in Canada during the past few weeks. The loonie dropped versus most of the 16 most traded currencies today after the central bank affirmed that interest rates will remain unchanged until June, decreasing sharply the attractiveness for the loonie as traders expected the good performance of the Canadian economy to produce more immediate results in terms of interest rate hikes.

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Dollar Profits From Global Economic Pessimism

This Friday’s shift in market sentiment allowed the U.S. dollar to post a weekly advance versus most of the main higher-yielding currencies, as risk aversion rose globally and traders opted by the relative safety provided by dollar-priced assets. The dollar gained significantly versus commodity producer currencies like the Brazilian Real and the Australian dollar towards the end of this week as China’s new lending restrictions raised concerns that demand for raw materials may decline in the country, affecting exports from these countries. The dollar also reverted a losing trend versus the euro and ended the week with a positive result as some of its member countries increasing budget deficit are raising speculations that the currency attractiveness may be impacted among traders, making the European single currency to drop sharply in this week’s last trading session.

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Australian Dollar Down on Chinese Risk Aversion

The Australian dollar was one of the most affected currencies today as speculations that Chinese lending requirements will slow down the global economic recovery impacted traders’ sentiment, declining appetite for high-yielding currencies. The Aussie and the kiwi declined today versus most of the main 16 traded currencies, after one of its main trading partners, China, is likely to reduce property loans after the government set new restrictions for lending money in the nation’s banks, fueling speculations of an economic slowdown and consequently raising risk aversion in trading markets towards the end of this week’s session.

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Australian Dollar Rallies on Interest Rate Outlook

Once again interest rates are fueling a rally for the Aussie dollar as it happened in the second half of the last year, when the South Pacific currency ranked among the best performing options in foreign-exchange markets. Positive employment data published in Australia this Wednesday is helping the Aussie to rally to high levels versus most of the main traded currencies, as a declining unemployment rate, currently at 5.5 percent and much better than other key-economic regions in the world, is fueling speculations that interest rates will be once again hiked in the country next month.

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Brazilian Real Declines on Treasury Plans

The Brazilian real posted the fourth straight day of decline versus the U.S. dollar as speculations suggest that the Treasury is likely to start a debt selling plan to buy dollars, declining attractiveness for the real in currency markets. The real touched the weakest level in 2010 today as speculations suggest that overseas investors are leaving the country, and such capital outflows declined appeal for the emerging market South American currency. A Treasury plan that may be used to buy dollars also affected the real’s outlook, in another day of losses versus most of the main traded currencies this week.

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Canadian Dollar Continues to Profit on Commodities

Speculations that demand for commodities will continue to grow in the U.S. and globally are helping the Canadian dollar to benefit from this scenario as exportation of raw materials account for half of the country’s trading revenue. The Canadian rose against almost all of the 16 main traded currencies as metallic and energetic commodities abundant in the country are experiencing a high demand as the global economic recovery spurs demand for raw materials. Canadian fundamentals are also stronger than most of its main trading partners, and the loonie rose versus the greenback today as U.S. retail sales declined, touching the highest level in three months versus its U.S. counterpart.

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Dollar Drops Slightly on Fed Comments

The dollar had a mediocre performance today losing versus a considerable number of currencies after the nation’s central bank was not so optimistic regarding the U.S. economy recovery, declining appeal for the greenback. The dollar posted a disappointing performance in a day were equities and commodities markets increased appeal for higher-yielding currencies. The British pound posted another advance versus the greenback as Bank of England’s policy markers signaled that interest rates in the U.K. are due to be hiked at some point this year. The Federal Reserve stated that a modest economic recovery is taking place in the U.S., fact which traders interpret as a delay in forecasts of interest rate raises, which is certainly declining the attractiveness that fueled a dollar rally versus most of the main traded currencies in December.

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Swiss Franc May Decline On SNB Interventions

After the SNB stated its position against further advances of its national currency, the Swiss Franc may be poised to decline versus main currencies, as fears of interventions are likely to shun investors from investing in the franc-priced assets. The Swiss franc gained during the late months of the last year versus the euro and the dollar, posting its highest monthly advance in December versus the European single currency in 2009, and trading in parity with the greenback in November, as the Swiss economy showed its strength and resilience, and declining odds of deflation were interpreted as a good chance for the currency to gain in foreign-exchange markets.

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Pound Strong Versus Dollar on Global Recovery

The U.K. currency extended Friday’s gains versus the U.S. dollar today as global optimism helped speculations that an economic recovery in the U.K. will make its currency more attractive in foreign-exchange markets. A business report published today by a private company in the U.K. indicated that confidence regarding economic conditions has improved substantially in an annual comparison, helping the pound to post another day of gains versus the greenback after a Chinese trading report suggested that the global economic recovery expected for 2010 is so far being confirmed, as both exports and imports climbed in China.

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Swiss Franc Retreats After Central Bank Statement

The Swiss currency had its previous week rally versus currencies like the pound and the euro halted today after the national central bank took a position against further advances of the franc, as the current appreciation was considered excessive by SNB officials. After a rally that lasted during most of the past week trading session, the Swiss National Bank President Philipp Hildebrand stated today that the franc’s fluctuations will be monitored closely, also signaling that policy makers will attempt to prevent further gains for the its currency, as current levels, specially versus the euro, are considered too high.

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Payrolls Cause Dollar’s Weekly Decline

The U.S. currency was performing quite well during most of this week’s session as optimism regarding the U.S. economy was high, but the employment data published on Friday forced the greenback down versus most of the main traded currencies, as figures came much below forecasts. The dollar posted the biggest weekly in two months as a non-farm payrolls report indicated more jobs cuts than expected, frustrating forecasts and declining odds that the Federal Reserve will lift stimulus and start a series of interest rate hikes that would happen sooner-than-expected, as some speculations suggested, if the economy accelerated at a faster pace.

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