Posts Tagged ‘Lows’

Factors Influencing the Forex Market

A lot of people like the participants of the currency markets, economists and experts of the Central bank have been trying to understand and identify, what factors exactly drive the highs and the lows of the Forex market. A lot of experts suggest that predicting the future move or trend of the Forex market is more of an art than a science. That is because even the experts at times have to split their views in relation to the direction of the Forex market.

Technically speaking there are two schools of thoughts or approaches which is primarily used to analyze the Forex market.

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Kiwi found support from the strength of its neighbour yesterday, and as global equities rallied strongly

The pound lost a further one and a half cents to the kiwi following negative UK data, and as the aussie rate hike put the focus on the next RBNZ rate decision. Fears that Britain’s fragile economic recovery is faltering were sparked after official figures revealed a surprise fall in industrial output in August. The data showed a 1.9% drop in manufacturing output month on month, a full 2.5% below the market prediction, encouraging further pound selling. The kiwi also benefited indirectly from the 25 basis point rate rise in Australia, which supported demand for higher-yielding currencies.

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Stong servies data and rallying equities were unable to buoy a weak pound yesterday, enabling the dollar to creep up

The pound continued to edge downward, undermined by speculation ahead of the MPC meeting later this week. Data revealed that Britain’s services sector grew more strongly than expected in September, expanding at its fastest rate for two years, quelling fears over the UK recovery following weak PMI data in the manufacturing and construction industries last week. However, the data failed to buoy confidence in the pound significantly with investors remaining wary of taking positions in UK assets ahead of the MPC statement this week. Additionally, business activity in the US non-manufacturing sector expanded in September, against market expectations of standstill, which supported dollar buying.

Click to continue reading “Stong servies data and rallying equities were unable to buoy a weak pound yesterday, enabling the dollar to creep up”

Data revealed a growing confidence among New Zealand businesses, which has driven the pound down further

The pound reverted back to its downward trend against the kiwi in trading yesterday, losing 0.8% to close the day near last week’s lows at 2.2163. A strong jump in a New Zealand business confidence survey added to evidence that the economic recovery is gaining pace, supporting demand for the kiwi. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand published a bright economic outlook yesterday, which was also picked up on by investors with expectations for a rate rise strengthening. Additionally, in the US, the second quarter GDP figure was revised upward revealing that the economy had contracted by less than initially expected, which supported a move into riskier assets, although weak employment data did offset this trend slightly.

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Forex Weekly Trading Forecast – 09.14.09

US Dollar Forecast Bearish on Clear Downward MomentumFundamental Outlook for US Dollar: Bullish- US Dollar hits new lows, but do fundamentals support declines?- Greenback falls against Euro for six consecutive trading days- Forex sentiment points to further US Dollar declinesThe US Dollar dropped like a stone on its way to fresh 2009 highs against nearly all major forex counterparts, breaking its long-standing trading range against the Euro in fairly dramatic fashion. The first full week of post-summer trading finally brought the sustained price moves we have long been waiting for.

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