Posts Tagged ‘Interest Rates’

3 Factors That Will Affect the Exchange Rate between Two Currencies

Many factors affect the exchange rate between two currencies, the 3 most important ones are discussed here!!

With the rapid increase in globalization connecting different parts of the world the globe is getting smaller and smaller day by day. Gone are the times when the economy sustained itself by restricting trade within its boundaries. The picture of imports and exports is constantly jutting out. This makes the concept of “exchange rate” even more important.

Exchange rate between two currencies determines how much a country is required to pay for imported goods and also how much it is required to receive for the exports.

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Rupee- appreciated by 32 paise against dollar

Rupee has got further appreciation for 32 paise against dollar as it has settled at the final value as Rs. 49.50 to 49.51. Dollar has set up a strong selling rate by exporters and a sustain rise in the local ranges of equities. Nevertheless of the dollar selling rate their weakness overseas and their capital flaws and downs has boosted the rupee to be higher by the outlook.

Domestic unit rupee value closed at 49.82 previous day and on today the interbank forex market revealed that the close has been higher to about 49.67 however they were about to reach a low of 49.80 in the early morning trade and by some weakness in the stocks the rise in the interest rates was finally announced by the central bank.

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Kenya shilling firm against dollar

The banks continues to set position for long dollar after they have heard from central bank which said that it doesn’t want any of the weak local currencies. This declaration made the Kenya shilling to be firm up against dollar on the Friday trade. However, this state only prevailed before also. From Diamond Trust Bank, the head of trading, Mr. Sameer said that the banks are struggling to cut through the long dollar positions.

According to the situation prevailing in here, the expectation is that it must be lowered before the demand for the dollar is been increased.

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Euro stepped out from its heights

Euro has been at greater heights for eleven months and now it has been slipped back from highs. On the Monday trade the euro value slipped from yen. It was high for five month against the value of dollar. According to the view of analysts, the euro zone higher rates are increasing in the trade market.

On Wednesday, Japan has been planned to publish the economic assets. Tightening the policy in the United States regarding the uncertainty and the view of the working officials on the Federal Reserve said about the downgrading of the economic assets by the bank of Japan.

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Industrial output is likely to be at halt as the Federal bond yield ranged

As per the prediction report, it seems that the growth of technology and industrial output is seems to be at the slight stage to be halted by 2 percent in December 2010. The last year bond auction is yet to be released in few days. However, the federal bond yield can reduce the trade and heading to look for the factory output data.

The key of the future economic growth is in the hands of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP). A senior citizen of a bank said that there is much change occurs in the industrial output every time and it is very hard to predict that eventually.

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Australian Dollar Pare Losses on Inflation

The Australian dollar managed to gain versus lower-yielding currencies before a report to be released this week in the country is likely to show an advance in inflation in the last year’s last quarter, helping speculations that a series of interest rates in the country will restart. The Aussie rebounded after losing versus most of lower-yielding currencies last week as risk aversion remained predominant in majority of trading hours. Investors in the South Pacific region are waiting an inflation report to be released on Jan 27th expecting positive numbers as forecasts suggest an advance for the country’s prices in the last quarter of 2009, which would provide grounds for a new series of interest rate hikes by Australian policy makers.

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Canadian Dollar Suffers Huge Impact on Inflation, Risk Aversion

The Canadian dollar ranked among the worst performers in currency markets today as risk aversion influenced commodities and equities trading, which are strongly related to the loonie’s rates as weak economic data in the country also influenced the confidence towards Canada’s currency. Speculations that interest rates hikes would happen anytime soon in Canada faded further away as consumer prices retreated according to a report published today, which forced the loonie down in a day were demand for raw materials declined, affecting the outlook for the Canadian economy as half of the country’s exports are commodities. The U.S.

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Canadian Dollar Tumbles on Rates Outlook

The Canadian dollar fell today after the nation’s central bank left interest rates unchanged at an all time record low, declining rate hikes speculations despite the favorable economic data published in Canada during the past few weeks. The loonie dropped versus most of the 16 most traded currencies today after the central bank affirmed that interest rates will remain unchanged until June, decreasing sharply the attractiveness for the loonie as traders expected the good performance of the Canadian economy to produce more immediate results in terms of interest rate hikes.

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Australian Dollar Rallies on Interest Rate Outlook

Once again interest rates are fueling a rally for the Aussie dollar as it happened in the second half of the last year, when the South Pacific currency ranked among the best performing options in foreign-exchange markets. Positive employment data published in Australia this Wednesday is helping the Aussie to rally to high levels versus most of the main traded currencies, as a declining unemployment rate, currently at 5.5 percent and much better than other key-economic regions in the world, is fueling speculations that interest rates will be once again hiked in the country next month.

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Dollar Drops Slightly on Fed Comments

The dollar had a mediocre performance today losing versus a considerable number of currencies after the nation’s central bank was not so optimistic regarding the U.S. economy recovery, declining appeal for the greenback. The dollar posted a disappointing performance in a day were equities and commodities markets increased appeal for higher-yielding currencies. The British pound posted another advance versus the greenback as Bank of England’s policy markers signaled that interest rates in the U.K. are due to be hiked at some point this year. The Federal Reserve stated that a modest economic recovery is taking place in the U.S., fact which traders interpret as a delay in forecasts of interest rate raises, which is certainly declining the attractiveness that fueled a dollar rally versus most of the main traded currencies in December.

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Canadian Dollar Rebounds After Bearish Days

The Canadian dollar profited from a higher risk appetite session today and rebounded versus the yen and its U.S. counterpart as equities rose in North America, allowing the correlated loonie to profit from this trading scenario. After two days losing in currency markets as concerns that the Canadian economic recovery is not as robust as analysts suggested, the loonie rebounded today, profiting from a positive performance of stocks and commodities, which have an extreme influence in the Canadian currency rates as raw materials exports are responsible for a big cut on the country’s international trade. The Canadian dollar also benefited from a less attractive U.S.

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Swiss Franc Retreats After Central Bank Statement

The Swiss currency had its previous week rally versus currencies like the pound and the euro halted today after the national central bank took a position against further advances of the franc, as the current appreciation was considered excessive by SNB officials. After a rally that lasted during most of the past week trading session, the Swiss National Bank President Philipp Hildebrand stated today that the franc’s fluctuations will be monitored closely, also signaling that policy makers will attempt to prevent further gains for the its currency, as current levels, specially versus the euro, are considered too high.

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Pound to Decline Versus Higher-Yielding Currencies on Weak Recovery

The United Kingdom has been showing itself as one of the least resilient nations among the wealthiest countries in the world, and its weak economic data combined with a ineffective monetary policy is likely to set the sterling further down in the first semester of 2010, specially versus higher-yielding options Bank of England policy makers insisted to extend its so far frustrated bond purchase strategy, injecting its remaining 200 billion pounds on the program, as interest rates remain at an all-time record low of 0.50 percent, maintaining the pound’s outlook negative, specially as the traders started the year with high levels of risk appetite.

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The kiwi retreated at the end of last week on a rise in risk aversion

The kiwi dollar struggled on Friday enabling the pound to jump 1.4%, briefly nearing the 2.30 level, as risk appetite in the market waned.Higher-risk currencies struggled to make headway at the end of last week as the rally in global equities in the wake of the positive US GDP data came to an abrupt halt. As global stocks fell, investors sought shelter in the haven currencies fuelling a sell-off in the higher-yielding kiwi dollar, buoying the sterling price. In trading this morning, the New Zealand dollar has pulled back from six-week lows against the pound, with profit taking in high-yield currencies taking a pause.

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Kiwi strenghtened broadly yesterday, but the pound has stemmed its losses in trading this morning

Better-than-expected GDP figures in the US caused risk appetite to surge across the board enabling the kiwi to post gains of over a cent against the pound.The solid GDP figure in the US renewed optimism about recovery in the global economy, prompting investors to buy higher-yielding currencies. The kiwi, which has suffered recently on a rise in risk aversion, was able to reverse losses as the positive data encouraged investors to buy up riskier assets. However, in trading this morning, the pound is recouping losses, pushing the price back near 2.27 as market participants return their thoughts to the RBNZ’s rate statement on Wednesday where they indicated that interest rates would not be raised for some time.


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