Posts Tagged ‘Economic Data’

Extended gains in the value of rupees

During the trade in the interbank foreign exchange took place today and at its initial stage (early trade) rupee gained about 11 paise to Rs.45.41 against the war with the dollar. During the previous session on Tuesday, the value was too deprecated to 3 paise and it was near 45.52/53 against dollar.

The market of foreign exchange was closed on Wednesday in the name of Milad-un-Nabi (local holiday). However, it become to action from Thursday morning. On the opinion of the dealers, they said the reason for the gain of rupees is due to the weakness of the dollar that is being noticed in some of the Asian countries.

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Canadian Dollar Suffers Huge Impact on Inflation, Risk Aversion

The Canadian dollar ranked among the worst performers in currency markets today as risk aversion influenced commodities and equities trading, which are strongly related to the loonie’s rates as weak economic data in the country also influenced the confidence towards Canada’s currency. Speculations that interest rates hikes would happen anytime soon in Canada faded further away as consumer prices retreated according to a report published today, which forced the loonie down in a day were demand for raw materials declined, affecting the outlook for the Canadian economy as half of the country’s exports are commodities. The U.S.

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Swiss Franc Tumbles on Intervention Fears

The Swiss currency finally felt the central bankers pressure and declined considerably versus most of its main trading partners’ currencies, on speculations that measures will be taken by the financial authorities to avoid the franc to gain. The Swiss franc dropped even versus the European single currency as some of the bloc’s members are providing negative economic data, evidencing that the Swiss National Bank pressure to halt the franc’s rally is taking effect. The pound was one of the biggest winners versus the franc as the U.K.’s inflation rose beyond forecasts. GBP/CHF traded at 1.6886 as of 22:31 GMT from a previous rate 1.6737 yesterday.

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Canadian Dollar Tumbles on Rates Outlook

The Canadian dollar fell today after the nation’s central bank left interest rates unchanged at an all time record low, declining rate hikes speculations despite the favorable economic data published in Canada during the past few weeks. The loonie dropped versus most of the 16 most traded currencies today after the central bank affirmed that interest rates will remain unchanged until June, decreasing sharply the attractiveness for the loonie as traders expected the good performance of the Canadian economy to produce more immediate results in terms of interest rate hikes.

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Pound May Climb On Asset Purchase Program Ending

The U.K. currency may be experience a shift on its sentiment as speculations suggest that the current quantitative easing measures used by the nation’s central bank will be terminated, as the country starts to publish positive economic reports, suggesting that the recession may be ending in the British Isles. This week will be decisive for the pound as inflation yearly numbers are due to be published the next Tuesday, and if forecasts will be confirmed, the numbers are expected to surpass Bank of England’s target below 2 percent for the first time in seven months, fueling even further speculations that quantitative easing measures will be lifted in the U.K.

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Dollar Profits From Global Economic Pessimism

This Friday’s shift in market sentiment allowed the U.S. dollar to post a weekly advance versus most of the main higher-yielding currencies, as risk aversion rose globally and traders opted by the relative safety provided by dollar-priced assets. The dollar gained significantly versus commodity producer currencies like the Brazilian Real and the Australian dollar towards the end of this week as China’s new lending restrictions raised concerns that demand for raw materials may decline in the country, affecting exports from these countries. The dollar also reverted a losing trend versus the euro and ended the week with a positive result as some of its member countries increasing budget deficit are raising speculations that the currency attractiveness may be impacted among traders, making the European single currency to drop sharply in this week’s last trading session.

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Greece’s Budget Deficit Affects Euro Performance

The euro declined today versus most of the 16 main trade currencies as some of its member countries, specially Greece, are having a hard time to adjust its national accounts, decreasing confidence among investors to inject capital in the region. Greece’s deteriorating financial situation once again influenced negatively the euro’s outlook as German Chancellor Angela Merkel affirmed that the Southern European budget deficit may hurt the sentiment among investors regarding the common currency, which had been already impacted by Greece’s credit rating when it was downgraded for the second time in a year in late 2009 by Standard and Poor’s.

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Pound to Decline Versus Higher-Yielding Currencies on Weak Recovery

The United Kingdom has been showing itself as one of the least resilient nations among the wealthiest countries in the world, and its weak economic data combined with a ineffective monetary policy is likely to set the sterling further down in the first semester of 2010, specially versus higher-yielding options Bank of England policy makers insisted to extend its so far frustrated bond purchase strategy, injecting its remaining 200 billion pounds on the program, as interest rates remain at an all-time record low of 0.50 percent, maintaining the pound’s outlook negative, specially as the traders started the year with high levels of risk appetite.

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Unchanged Rates and Bond Purchases Maintain Pound Down

The British currency continued to suffer from its central bank monetary policies as interest rates remained unchanged in the country, suggesting that the recession will remain a reality in England for an extended period.A concerning budget deficit combined with weak economic data has been affecting the pound’s outlook as the Bank of England insists on its asset-purchase program which hasn’t been effective so far, as well as in all-time record low interest rates which decrease the appeal for the sterling in foreign-exchange markets.GBP/USD bottomed at 1.5923 as of 22:21 GMT from a previous rate of 1.6036.If you want to comment on the Great Britain pound’s recent action or have any questions regarding this currency, please, feel free to reply below.

Having weakened off sharply on Friday, the aussie is trading strongly against the pound this morning

The pound climbed just over two cents against a broadly weakened aussie dollar on Friday with a rise in risk aversion putting selling pressure on the higher-yielding currency. Weak data in the US and plummeting global equity markets enable the pound to gain as investors took the opportunity to cash profits in the aussie and retreat to safer assets. Analysts have recently noted that the rally in risky assets could come to an end. Conditions for perceived riskier assets to gain requires a flow of positive economic data combined with loose global monetary policies and low interest rates.

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Dollar was buoyed at the end of last week as risk appetite waned

The greeback pulled back from its sharp sell-off on Thursday, as weak US economic data spurred a return to risk aversion.In early trading, the dollar continued to lose ground following the better-than-expected US growth data, however the GBP/USD rally was capped at 1.6600, and the UK currency pulled down steadily, eventually closing down 0.6% ay 1.6448. US markets went through losses on Friday, with financials and materials leading the path, as risk aversion returned after Thursday’s optimism, strengthening support for the greenback. On the macroeconomic front, data revealed that US consumer spending declined 0.5% in September, the largest decline since December 2008, further buoying the dollar rally.

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Pound extended gains against the euro, buoyed by positive economic data

The pound continued to rally yesterday and is now poised to snap a three-month decline versus the euro, as the UK showed positive economic signals. Data from the Bank of England revealed that UK net consumer lending rose less than expected in September but the number of loans approved for house purchases did hit its highest level in 18- months. Mortgage approvals rose to 56,215 from a revised 52,970 in August, which is the highest level of approvals since February last year and marks a solid recovery from September 2008 when only 33,419 mortgages were approved.

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Aussie was broadly sold yesterday as investors withdrew riskier positions

The pound advanced by 2.3% against the aussie as risk appetite stumbled in the wake of weak US economic data and a steep slide in global equities.In the early session, Australian inflation data was revealed to be slightly below expectations, leading investors to pare bets that the Reserve Bank of Australia will decide on a hefty interest-rate hike next week. The consumer price index rose in the third quarter by an annual 1.3%, the smallest gain since the second quarter of 1999, after advancing 1.5% in the previous three months.

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Weak US data enabled the US dollar to continue clawing back losses against the euro

The single currency slipped further away from recent 14-month highs against the dollar yesterday, losing nearly a cent to close down at 1.4707.The US dollar rose, stretching a rally against the euro to a fourth day, supported by weak U.S. economic data that weighed on equity markets and led investors to seek safety in the greenback and cut exposure to assets perceived as risky. Initially though, the euro pared early losses after data showed core US durable goods orders were better-than-expected in September. The report revealed that the core figure, which excludes transport equipment, rose by 0.9%, higher than forecasts of a 0.6% rise, strengthening risk appetite in the market.

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The truth about indicators of economic sentiment

At any given time, the theoretical value of the shares – this is just your present value of future dividends. Because the company earns money, theoretically, the profits will be paid to investors.The task of the investor is to determine which company is going to profit and invest before the profit will be known.Once the economic data becomes available, investors analyze them, and make forecasts for future profits.Macro economists take account of these technical data, mainly in order to monitor investor sentiment. We try to focus on macroeconomic developments, which are driven by the market.What seems meaningless to us, so that’s why the markets reacted so strongly to indicators of moods.These variables, as a rule, have no influence on consumer data, while investors often use them as important indicators for economic performance.

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