Posts Tagged ‘Decline’

South Korean Won Biggest Loser in Asia on Risk Aversion

The South Korean currency, one of the best performers in 2009 among Asian emerging markets, had a severe weekly decline as risk aversion remained predominant after China’s statements regarding new regulations on its economy. After China announced it will take further measures to control inflation in the country, which can be understood with implied slower economic growth, the South Korean currency declined versus most of its main trading partners currencies, as was the worst performer in the Asian region this week in foreign-exchange markets. USD/KRW ended the week at 1,152.50 from an opening rate of 1,136.2 this Friday.

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New Zealand Dollar Rebounds on Retail Sales

After losing significantly during most of this Wednesday’s session as risk aversion prevailed globally, the kiwi rebounded in currency markets as retail sales advanced in the country reviving the confidence regarding the Southern Pacific economy. The New Zealand dollar had its worse decline in two months this Wednesday as consumer prices showed negative figures, but a retail sales report published in this Thursday early morning in the country revived confidence in the currency as figures came better than forecasts suggested. NZD/USD traded at 0.7227 as of 12:51 GMT from as low as 0.7185 hours earlier.

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Pound Climbs on House Prices, Optimism

The U.K. currency profited today from an increase in the nation’s house prices, fueling even further speculations that the recession might be ending in Britain, attracting investors to purchase pound-priced assets in a day of bullish equities markets in London. In a day of predominant risk appetite as commodities and equities advanced in the U.K., the pound profited from an optimistic scenario in the country as Rightmove Plc, a leading British real estate website, indicated that house prices increased last month, adding evidences for speculations that Bank of England’s current asset purchase program may expire next month and not be extended further, which would certainly allow the pound to climb in foreign-exchange markets.

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Brazilian Real Declines on Treasury Plans

The Brazilian real posted the fourth straight day of decline versus the U.S. dollar as speculations suggest that the Treasury is likely to start a debt selling plan to buy dollars, declining attractiveness for the real in currency markets. The real touched the weakest level in 2010 today as speculations suggest that overseas investors are leaving the country, and such capital outflows declined appeal for the emerging market South American currency. A Treasury plan that may be used to buy dollars also affected the real’s outlook, in another day of losses versus most of the main traded currencies this week.

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Norwegian Krone Tumbles as Commodities Rally Slow Down

After several days gaining versus the dollar and the euro, the Norwegian currency slid versus main traded currencies as a bearish day in equities markets and decreased demand for commodities shunned investors from assets in the Nordic country. The Norwegian krone was affected today as the crude oil, the nation’s chief export, had a decline on its rates after China imposed new lending requirements for banks in the country, affecting markets’ sentiment, consequently impacting stock markets and demand for high-yielding currencies. USD/NOK traded at 5.6518 as of 19:08 GMT from today’s opening rate of 5.6174.

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Ruble Gains Sharply on First Russian Trade Day

In the first day of trading for Russian stocks in 2010, the national currency posted a sharp rise as equities in the country, extremely related to commodities, climbed with full force, as stock markets in the country were closed last week. The ruble benefited today from a strong demand for oil in the Northern Hemisphere as this winter is being of the most intense during the past decade, forcing the crude beyond $83 a barrel, allowing Russian stocks to gain sharply and consequently providing support for the nation’s currency to post the sharpest advance in a decade today versus the greenback.

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Swiss Franc Retreats After Central Bank Statement

The Swiss currency had its previous week rally versus currencies like the pound and the euro halted today after the national central bank took a position against further advances of the franc, as the current appreciation was considered excessive by SNB officials. After a rally that lasted during most of the past week trading session, the Swiss National Bank President Philipp Hildebrand stated today that the franc’s fluctuations will be monitored closely, also signaling that policy makers will attempt to prevent further gains for the its currency, as current levels, specially versus the euro, are considered too high.

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Payrolls Cause Dollar’s Weekly Decline

The U.S. currency was performing quite well during most of this week’s session as optimism regarding the U.S. economy was high, but the employment data published on Friday forced the greenback down versus most of the main traded currencies, as figures came much below forecasts. The dollar posted the biggest weekly in two months as a non-farm payrolls report indicated more jobs cuts than expected, frustrating forecasts and declining odds that the Federal Reserve will lift stimulus and start a series of interest rate hikes that would happen sooner-than-expected, as some speculations suggested, if the economy accelerated at a faster pace.

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Dollar was buoyed at the end of last week as risk appetite waned

The greeback pulled back from its sharp sell-off on Thursday, as weak US economic data spurred a return to risk aversion.In early trading, the dollar continued to lose ground following the better-than-expected US growth data, however the GBP/USD rally was capped at 1.6600, and the UK currency pulled down steadily, eventually closing down 0.6% ay 1.6448. US markets went through losses on Friday, with financials and materials leading the path, as risk aversion returned after Thursday’s optimism, strengthening support for the greenback. On the macroeconomic front, data revealed that US consumer spending declined 0.5% in September, the largest decline since December 2008, further buoying the dollar rally.

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Pound extended gains against the euro, buoyed by positive economic data

The pound continued to rally yesterday and is now poised to snap a three-month decline versus the euro, as the UK showed positive economic signals. Data from the Bank of England revealed that UK net consumer lending rose less than expected in September but the number of loans approved for house purchases did hit its highest level in 18- months. Mortgage approvals rose to 56,215 from a revised 52,970 in August, which is the highest level of approvals since February last year and marks a solid recovery from September 2008 when only 33,419 mortgages were approved.

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RBS recommends buying euro / dollar on the decline

As the currency analysts Royal Bank of Scotland, the rising trend of the euro remains in force, and investors should buy the currency at lower. The bank’s strategy pay attention to the fact that the euro / dollar has declined and is now in the middle part of the recent consolidation range.In the case of a deeper correction of a couple may go down to the area of $ 1.45, but it is unlikely this decline will be long.Bank analysts believe that in the medium term investors should buy the euro / dollar to decline. Currently, the euro / dollar bargains at level of $ 1.4847.

M3 euro zone fell to 1.8% in September

M3 euro area (an indicator of the money supply) amounted to 1,8% in September compared with 2.6% in the previous month. Analysts expected decline to 2,1%. Note that the monetary aggregate M3 includes the amount of cash currency in circulation, means of check deposits, deposits with maturities of less than 4 years and is considered one of the most important indicators of inflation.Index of private credit in the eurozone fell by 0.3% in September compared with an increase of 0,1% in the previous month. Indicator forecasts of -0.2%.

UK economy contracted by 0.4%, which has and will continue to weigh heavily on sterling

In an uncertain day for the UK economy, the pound lost as much as 2.0% to the euro on Friday, sharply reversing its recent rally to close down at 1.0862. Data revealed that the UK economy unexpectedly contracted by 0.4% between July and September this year, confirming that the UK is still in recession. Quarterly growth of 0.2% had been expected, although expectations had been tempered by recent figures showing no growth in retail sales in September and a 2.5% decline in industrial output in August. Importantly, the disappointing GDP figures may now lead the Bank of England to consider the possibility of extending their asset purchase scheme in their November meeting in order to sustain the evidently fragile recovery.

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Number of applications for unemployment benefits in the United States rose to 531 thousand

The number of primary applications for unemployment insurance in the United States increased over the past week for the first time after two weeks of decline.Index rose for the week of October 17 to 11 thousand to 531 thousand, being at the highest level since 26 September.At the same time, the number of Americans continuing to receive unemployment benefits fell for the week to October 10 to 98 thousand to 5.92 million. This indicator is at record low level since March this year.

UniCredit: euro / dollar is preparing to break through 1.50

As the currency analysts UniCredit, the weakening U.S. dollar continues and does not even try to slow down, thus, believe in the bank, no data on the U.S. housing market, which went today at 16:30 Moscow Time, or the next series of earnings reports of companies for the 3rd quarter, most likely not be able to stop this decline. Thus, the bank’s strategy continues to prefer to sell the U.S. currency. Meanwhile, talk that the European authorities are opposed to strengthening European currencies lose their value, which creates favorable conditions for a breakthrough level of 1.50 – stop-loss and option barriers, of course, will increase volatility in the first attempt to break through this level.

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