Posts Tagged ‘Confidence’

New Zealand Dollar Rebounds on Retail Sales

After losing significantly during most of this Wednesday’s session as risk aversion prevailed globally, the kiwi rebounded in currency markets as retail sales advanced in the country reviving the confidence regarding the Southern Pacific economy. The New Zealand dollar had its worse decline in two months this Wednesday as consumer prices showed negative figures, but a retail sales report published in this Thursday early morning in the country revived confidence in the currency as figures came better than forecasts suggested. NZD/USD traded at 0.7227 as of 12:51 GMT from as low as 0.7185 hours earlier.

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Canada’s Dollar Retreats on Oil, Risk Aversion

The Canadian dollar declined versus its U.S. counterpart and lower-yielding currencies as risk aversion rose impacting markets with extreme influence in the loonie rates, those of raw materials and equities, which dropped globally this Friday. The loonie was impacted today as energetic and metallic commodities declined, specially the crude oil, as raw material exports account for more than half of the country’s international trade revenue, in a day of bearish markets in New York and Toronto. China’s new tightening lending policy declined appeal for high-yielding currencies, and despite U.S. mediocre data published in reports this Friday showing a slow down in the country’s inflation, the greenback advanced versus the loonie after touching a three-month low earlier this week.

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Yen Tumbles as Australia Fuels Risk Rally

The Japanese currency declined in the beginning of this Thursday’s session on Australia’s better than expected employment data, which increased attractiveness for riskier assets as the South Pacific economy recovery improves confidence among traders. The yen, known as the best refuge currency for times of uncertainty, declined today as unemployment surprisingly fell in Australia, bringing Japanese investors to buy riskier assets overseas, as the Australian economic recovery indicates better economic conditions not only in the South Pacific region but also among its main trading partners. AUD/JPY traded at 85.01 as of 02:35 GMT from a previous rate of 83.89 in the intraday chart.

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Australian Dollar Climbs on Unemployment Rate

The Australian dollar climbed after employment figures were published in the country with better-than-expected numbers, adding confidence that the economic recovery in the country is accelerating its pace, spurring demand for assets in the South Pacific region. After unemployment in Australia declined to 5.5 percent and surprised forecasts that expected an increase, the Aussie dollar gained versus most of the main traded currencies, specially lower-yielding options like the Japanese yen, impacted by the growing risk appetite in Australia. AUD/CAD traded at 0.9579 as of 02:27 GMT from 0.9504 hours before the employment figures were published in Australia.

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Pound Strong Versus Dollar on Global Recovery

The U.K. currency extended Friday’s gains versus the U.S. dollar today as global optimism helped speculations that an economic recovery in the U.K. will make its currency more attractive in foreign-exchange markets. A business report published today by a private company in the U.K. indicated that confidence regarding economic conditions has improved substantially in an annual comparison, helping the pound to post another day of gains versus the greenback after a Chinese trading report suggested that the global economic recovery expected for 2010 is so far being confirmed, as both exports and imports climbed in China.

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Aussie made significant gains at the end of last week and is continuing to advance this morning

In trading on Friday, the pound slipped back from two-week highs around the 1.8000 level against the aussie as a weak GDP figure dulled demand for the UK currency. A report showed that the UK failed to exit the recession in the third quarter of this year, giving the central bank more reason to keep enacting emergency measures to spur growth. The data showed that the UK contracted by a further 0.4%, disappointing expectations of a 0.2% expansion and firmly halting the pound’s progress. Where as in Australia interest rates have already been raised on the back of growing confidence in the economy, the UK may now be considering further loosening its monetary policies as recovery struggles to take hold.

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Pound continued to climb against the aussie yesterday as confidence in the UK economy improved

A broadly stronger pound hit a two-week high against the aussie, briefly rising over 1.8000, as confidence in the UK economy gained momentum.Sterling jumped following the minutes from the Bank of England’s latest policy meeting, which dampened expectations of an extension to quantitative easing. The minutes appeared to move the balance of market expectations to the possibility of a pause of the government’s asset purchase scheme in November, reversing recent speculation. In addition, the aussie dollar found its strength undermined as commodity prices, most notably oil, turned lower, discouraging investors from the higher-yielding currency.

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Sterling made substantial ground on the dollar yesterday as the BoE showed no sign of loosening montary policy further

Dollar selling in the market was stepped up with investors moving into the pound as the MPC minutes proved more positive than expected. The pound climbed over 1.66, posting a two and half cent gain against the dollar as the minutes from the Bank of England’s October monetary policy meeting struck a less dovish tone than recent comments suggested. Analysts said the most important story within the release was the fact that in the September meeting, governor Mervyn King thought an expansion of the central bank’s quantitative easing programme could be justified. But there was no mention of that in this latest meeting.

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Bank of England voted unanimously to maintain the key rate

Wednesday, 21 October, the Bank of England published the minutes of the meeting held on October 7-8, at which the Committee on monetary policy has kept the rate of compulsory reserves of commercial banks at 0.50%. The decision was taken unanimously. At the same meeting it was decided to continue the program to acquire the assets of the private sector by the central bank reserves amounting to 175 billion pounds.Based on the evaluation of the program to buy assets on the financial markets, the Committee of the Bank of England expects that this program in conjunction with other factors, including timely reduction of the key rate, government intervention to stabilize the banking system, the restoration of the world economy and increased confidence, has led to significant improvements.

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Euro pushes higher but finds strong resistence at $1.50

The single currency resumed its climb against the dollar in trading yesterday, supported by rising confidence in the global recovery, closing the day up 0.4%.The euro hovered just below the psychologically important 1.50 level as the US dollar remained under selling pressure on expectations that US interest rates will remain pinned at record lows well into 2010. The single currency also found support as some investors speculated finance ministers from the 16-nation region meeting in Luxembourg would focus on the currency’s strength. The dollar came under further pressure as the continued confidence over the prospects of a global economic recovery were reaffirmed as the Dow Jones opened up over 10,000, keeping haven demand for the dollar in check. Late in the afternoon, the Fed added to the greenback’s woes after stating that it has been testing its reverse repurchase agreement tool but is not about to use it, suggesting that US monetary policy is not set to tighten just yet.

Sterling traded strongly at the end of last week against the kiwi but has slipped back sharply this morning

Sterling managed to close last week at a near two-week high of 2.2056 against kiwi, as the UK currency continued to build on support from a BoE official. The ailing pound managed to build on Thursday’s gains, rallying a further 1.2% against the kiwi on Friday, in the wake of a Bank of England policy maker signaling satisfaction with the impact of the central bank’s quantitative-easing strategy. Investors took the opportunity to take strong profits that had been built up earlier last week, taking the sterling / kiwi price back over 2.20.

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Sterling is currently trading higher against the aussie following upbeat comments and a move to cash profits

Sterling recovered some of its recent extensive losses against the aussie dollar yesterday, climbing over two cents, to close up at 1.7668. Bank of England member, Paul Fisher, said yesterday that policy makers would be more likely to pause asset purchases in their upcoming meeting in November, giving themselves the option of “doing more later,” rather than stopping them. His comments were taken to read that the MPC is unlikely to extend their quantitative easing programme, supporting a slight rise in confidence in the UK economy, strengthening the pound. In broad terms, the aussie traded strongly against most currencies yesterday as positive economic data in the US led to investors adding to their long positions in the higher-yielding currency.

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Sterling edged up against a broadly weaker dollar ahead of important central bank announcements

The pound reversed its steady decline against the greenback yesterday as investors relinquished defensive positions ahead of today’s MPC announcement. Cautious investors initially sought safety ahead of the two key central bank meetings today, putting pressure on the UK currency. Additionally, in an interview, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Thomas Hoenig said that the US central bank should start raising interest rates “sooner rather than later,” which buoyed confidence in the US economy. However, the greenback’s gains were limited, with the pound rebounding a cent from its intra-day low as investors felt that the market had gone too short on sterling positions ahead of today’s statements.

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Stong servies data and rallying equities were unable to buoy a weak pound yesterday, enabling the dollar to creep up

The pound continued to edge downward, undermined by speculation ahead of the MPC meeting later this week. Data revealed that Britain’s services sector grew more strongly than expected in September, expanding at its fastest rate for two years, quelling fears over the UK recovery following weak PMI data in the manufacturing and construction industries last week. However, the data failed to buoy confidence in the pound significantly with investors remaining wary of taking positions in UK assets ahead of the MPC statement this week. Additionally, business activity in the US non-manufacturing sector expanded in September, against market expectations of standstill, which supported dollar buying.

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Pound made gains against the aussie on Friday following weak US data

The pound advanced a further cent against the aussie on Friday, building on strong gains, as investors remained cautious following weak US employment figures. The US economy suffered 263,000 job cuts in September, which was far more than had been expected according to official data, sapping demand for ‘riskier’ assets. The pound advanced to over 1.84 as investors sold off the risky currency amid concerns that the US recovery may not be as robust as initially thought. However, the pound did cap its gains, as the US data dragged down European equities, with the FTSE falling below 5000 points, which dampened confidence in the UK currency.

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