The pound edged higher, achieving its biggest weekly advance against the euro since January, as signs pointed to the UK economic recovery talking hold.
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Pound edged up slightly against the euro on Friday but is down around 0.7% in trading this morning
Falling global equities enabled the pound to post gains against the euro
The pound continued to advance against a broadly weaker single currency yesterday, hitting a six-week high of 1.1167 as investors trimmed their euro holdings.
- Preliminary CPI data from Germany revealed that consumer prices remained flat on the year in October. Monthly data showed that the index did rise by 0.1% in October from September, though this rise failed to garner support for the euro.
- The markets also saw a slight withdrawal of risk activity yesterday as weak housing data in the US renewed concern over the health of the global recovery.
- The data dragged European equities down to three-week lows, which appeared to impact more severely on the single-currency, enabling the pound to gain.
- This morning, the pound is consolidating its position above 1.1100, with analysts reiterating that sterling is likely to remain in a holding pattern until next week’s BoE asset purchase decision.
- Investors are cautious amid uncertainty over whether the Central Bank will extend their quantitative easing programme, and so sterling movements may continue to be dictated by risk appetite in over the coming days.
The pound rebounded strongly vs the euro yesterday with analysts suspecting that sterling could be oversold
After an unsteady early session, the pound rebounded strongly from Friday’s sell off, to close 1.1% up.
- The pound recovered steadily through the day after data revealed that the German Gfk consumer sentiment indicator dropped to 4.0 from 4.2 in October, weaker than the median forecast of 4.5, dulling demand for the single currency.
- In addition UK business confidence rose to the highest in 18 months, according to a third-quarter survey, with 19% of executives polled saying the outlook for business is “good” or “very good,” up from 9% in the previous quarter, which stoked demand for the pound.
- Analysts hypothesised that the pound may be considerably oversold at its current value, which does present a good opportunity for British businesses.
- Analysts also noted two opposing arguments developing: the first is a widely held view that based on better PMI survey data there is a good chance that GDP data for Q3 will be revised up.
Sterling halted its recent rally and is slipping back sharply against the kiwi as UK GDP figure disappoints
The pound was broadly sold on Friday following a weak GDP figure, losing three cents to the kiwi dollar, to close back down at 2.1607.
The kiwi edged higher against the pound but has weakened this morning following important Chinese data
Having given up ground to the UK currency in early trading, the kiwi rallied steadily through the afternoon, to close marginally up at 2.1833.
Sterling made substantial ground on the dollar yesterday as the BoE showed no sign of loosening montary policy further
Dollar selling in the market was stepped up with investors moving into the pound as the MPC minutes proved more positive than expected.
The pound posted a one cent gain against the euro yesterday, buoyed by the MPC minutes
Sterling reached a one-month high against the single currency, rallying strongly as the BoE’s latest policy meeting made no mention of further QE.
- The MPC minutes gave substantial support to the pound, which advanced 1.1% to reach a high of 1.1112, after they sounded a more positive tone than recent statements from policymakers suggested.
Having held steady in trading yesterday, the pound has slipped back this morning as equity markets stumble
Sterling suffered early losses against the euro yesterday after a BoE member hinted that the QE programme should be extended, but the pound recovered to close the day on level footing.
Sterling traded strongly at the end of last week against the kiwi but has slipped back sharply this morning
Sterling managed to close last week at a near two-week high of 2.2056 against kiwi, as the UK currency continued to build on support from a BoE official.
Profit taking ahead of the weekend allowed the pound to make further ground against the aussie on Friday
Sterling maintained its rally as investors continued to lock in profits ahead of the weekend, with the price closing the day at 1.7839.
Sterling continued to rally at the end of last week, but has relinquished gains in trading this morning
Sterling’s rally against the euro persisted on Friday, albeit with slightly less momentum, with the price closing the week at 1.0971, up 0.8% on the day.
- Sterling’s volatile run continued with a modest climb at the end of last week, as investors squeezed what more they could out of a rally that is expected to fade.
The pound/US dollar price is slowly rising as investors broadly sell the greenback
Having made early losses, the pound recovered ground in afternoon trading following positive comments from the BoE Deputy Governor, Charles Bean.
- The pound initially fell against the dollar after consumer prices last month rose 1.1%, down from 1.6% in August according to the Office for National Statistics, which was below the 1.3% prediction.
Sterling loses further ground to the dollar on specualtion of a further extension of QE
Traders continued to sell sterling yesterday, pushing the UK currency down to a five-month low against the dollar, eventually closing at 1.5797.
- The pound lost ground after an economics and business report forecast that sterling could fall as low as $1.40 against the dollar.
Demand for the kiwi remained strong yesterday, but it has lost ground in the wake of comments from Ben Bernanke
The pound edged down against the kiwi as rising risk appetite in the market offset the BoE’s decision to hold their monetary policy unchanged.
- Investors continued to buy into the higher-yielding New Zealand dollar, encouraged by rallying global equity markets and a broadly weaker dollar.
- In the UK, the BoE kept interest rates at 0.5% and decided against extending the quantitative easing programme as some had feared.
- However, the decision only gave the pound a muted boost against the kiwi, as investors had already priced the news into the market.
- In trading this morning, the kiwi has trimmed its gains as investors lock in some profits and as comments from the Fed Chairman suggested that the US may need to tighten monetary policy, spurring a slight return to the US dollar.
- However analysts have noted that overall market sentiment towards the kiwi is still pretty bullish, and that any upward movement for the pound is likely to be as a result of profit taking, rather than decreasing demand for kiwi assets.
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The aussie stumbled yesterday, enabling the pound to gain as investors took profits
The pound reversed a three-day slide against the aussie, posting gains of nearly a cent as investors took an opportunity to lock in profits.
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